Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.184497 0.220063 0.260032 0.308185 0.364532 0.428286 0.505790
2025-03-30 0.133823 0.179799 0.237271 0.314006 0.413342 0.537113 0.702486
2025-04-06 0.102361 0.150585 0.215920 0.310103 0.441433 0.616946 0.867911
2025-04-13 0.081700 0.129724 0.199312 0.306196 0.464589 0.688639 1.026958
2025-04-20 0.070278 0.119199 0.194302 0.316064 0.506023 0.787815 1.233067
2025-04-27 0.065135 0.117017 0.200758 0.342990 0.574849 0.932967 1.520888
2025-05-04 0.058297 0.110611 0.199144 0.356230 0.623011 1.050777 1.778255
2025-05-11 0.049804 0.099708 0.188162 0.351918 0.641246 1.122136 1.967992
2025-05-18 0.041553 0.087692 0.173259 0.338345 0.641384 1.162745 2.109818
2025-05-25 0.034418 0.076482 0.158006 0.321704 0.633454 1.187814 2.226240
2025-06-01 0.031102 0.072330 0.155387 0.328083 0.667643 1.288941 2.483924
2025-06-08 0.026518 0.064673 0.144695 0.317200 0.667729 1.328142 2.633110
2025-06-15 0.024093 0.061527 0.143149 0.325310 0.707270 1.447200 2.947148
2025-06-22 0.021675 0.057985 0.140303 0.330495 0.741942 1.561244 3.264491
2025-06-29 0.018910 0.053051 0.133590 0.326320 0.756602 1.637433 3.515372
2025-07-06 0.016552 0.048649 0.127354 0.322216 0.770683 1.713445 3.772543
2025-07-13 0.015349 0.047028 0.127424 0.332563 0.817485 1.860909 4.188484
2025-07-20 0.015199 0.048253 0.134643 0.360791 0.907631 2.107645 4.832510
2025-07-27 0.014303 0.047193 0.135920 0.374668 0.966153 2.291655 5.358913
2025-08-03 0.012676 0.043648 0.130175 0.370148 0.980667 2.380484 5.687002
2025-08-10 0.010873 0.039169 0.121174 0.355921 0.969893 2.411456 5.889813
2025-08-17 0.009207 0.034729 0.111515 0.338476 0.948873 2.416627 6.034440
2025-08-24 0.008540 0.033453 0.110728 0.345163 0.990060 2.570897 6.534808